BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Southern Miss
Class: 1A Class Rank: 100 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 143.29
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home L * 140.07 17 34 1A 60 ( 5- 8) Mississippi St -3.23 -13.28 -13.77
2 09/06/2025 Home W 139.66 38 20 1B 62 ( 9- 3) Jackson St -3.63 -8.05 21.63
3 09/13/2025 Home W * * 152.04 38 22 1A 120 ( 5- 8) Appalachian St 8.75 -5.47 7.25
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 141.57 20 30 1A 88 ( 8- 5) Louisiana Tech -1.72 -10.61 -8.28
5 09/27/2025 Home W * 158.30 42 25 1A 101 ( 9- 5) Jacksonville St 15.01 8.11 1.99
6 10/09/2025 Away W * * 146.41 38 35 1A 107 ( 7- 6) Georgia Southern 3.12 12.26 -0.12
7 10/18/2025 Away W * * 154.07 22 10 1A 113 ( 6- 7) Louisiana-Lafayette 10.78 7.79 1.22
8 10/25/2025 Home W * * 155.13 49 21 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Louisiana-Monroe 11.84 16.71 16.16
9 11/08/2025 Away W * * 148.89 27 21 1A 109 ( 7- 6) Arkansas St 5.60 6.43 0.40
10 11/15/2025 Home L * * 122.01 14 41 1A 84 ( 7- 6) Texas St-San Marcos -21.28 6.45 -5.72
11 11/22/2025 Away L * * 134.45 35 42 1A 110 ( 4- 8) South Alabama -8.85 4.69 1.85
12 11/29/2025 Home L * * 132.66 18 28 1A 98 ( 8- 6) Troy -10.64 3.67 0.64
13 12/23/2025 Neutral L * 137.55 16 27 1A 89 ( 9- 4) Western Kentucky -5.74 -4.73 -5.26
Averages 143.29 28.8 27.4
Best game: 158.30 = 17 point win over Jacksonville St
Worst game: 122.01 = 27 point loss to Texas St-San Marcos
Team stdev: 10.42